Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.293101 4.807229 5.366740 6.022194 6.770675 7.600668 8.593406
2025-02-09 3.582849 4.276327 5.088010 6.113461 7.381804 8.908597 10.899903
2025-02-16 3.123715 3.909846 4.881678 6.182366 7.894112 10.092837 13.167916
2025-02-23 2.795450 3.635270 4.720430 6.243153 8.353150 11.215858 15.466494
2025-03-02 2.462303 3.302696 4.428429 6.070822 8.446467 11.821656 17.096160
2025-03-09 2.227790 3.070942 4.237047 5.998728 8.647764 12.573268 19.004874
2025-03-16 2.030832 2.868084 4.059438 5.916494 8.808808 13.263007 20.886973
2025-03-23 1.949702 2.821173 4.097221 6.150462 9.465333 14.777168 24.293582
2025-03-30 1.817510 2.684828 3.986246 6.138349 9.722896 15.670167 26.764038
2025-04-06 1.691917 2.546734 3.858348 6.082469 9.895387 16.430044 29.091882
2025-04-13 1.520007 2.322642 3.576446 5.746060 9.553667 16.254506 29.651722
2025-04-20 1.440252 2.238415 3.510742 5.763720 9.824945 17.193556 32.471743
2025-04-27 1.395989 2.210229 3.537336 5.947818 10.424147 18.828034 36.983964
2025-05-04 1.340109 2.158498 3.520170 6.052892 10.889697 20.269131 41.346151
2025-05-11 1.283308 2.100562 3.486994 6.124386 11.297089 21.644262 45.799323
2025-05-18 1.229704 2.043833 3.450730 6.185273 11.687962 23.031890 50.520951
2025-05-25 1.145909 1.928223 3.300519 6.014921 11.592963 23.380968 52.844975
2025-06-01 1.083786 1.846867 3.206115 5.943619 11.692686 24.159819 56.350713
2025-06-08 1.025368 1.768317 3.111095 5.862254 11.761377 24.875769 59.822652
2025-06-15 1.012088 1.771418 3.168795 6.093769 12.531206 27.298153 68.260238
2025-06-22 0.969134 1.716320 3.111295 6.081785 12.758205 28.468000 73.501151
2025-06-29 0.924133 1.654522 3.036448 6.026492 12.880087 29.396949 78.240080
2025-07-06 0.850827 1.534421 2.839441 5.693602 12.323131 28.561537 77.613548